Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 387.209442 439.726344 498.056961 567.879775 649.486981 742.209429 856.044658
2025-11-09 314.890047 385.264727 470.634722 582.788245 727.677369 910.500910 1161.770559
2025-11-16 269.236487 345.740165 444.078590 581.611074 771.974496 1030.650098 1416.593802
2025-11-23 235.187545 313.627682 419.152171 574.306326 801.458617 1129.687886 1654.737337
2025-11-30 212.642418 292.895649 405.192994 577.707637 843.208121 1248.774698 1940.596352
2025-12-07 190.700860 269.859221 384.341184 566.881775 860.136009 1330.353014 2179.567178
2025-12-14 174.190140 252.584102 369.413420 562.177175 884.460155 1425.361733 2457.079376
2025-12-21 155.916922 230.663853 344.850088 538.695771 873.851581 1458.650608 2628.010830
2025-12-28 149.077947 225.541554 345.642161 556.213182 934.541286 1625.044369 3084.502717
2026-01-04 143.999152 222.586805 349.373445 578.751898 1006.723333 1823.592553 3649.737783
2026-01-11 135.704518 213.579906 342.085244 580.857316 1041.025033 1954.160253 4098.993012
2026-01-18 125.666767 200.795378 327.147213 567.290403 1043.105788 2019.538531 4414.536882
2026-01-25 116.989445 189.785457 314.577669 557.253356 1051.878103 2102.636552 4799.034384
2026-02-01 113.006054 186.562877 315.487168 573.000166 1115.650759 2316.905776 5572.369289
2026-02-08 106.982938 179.225129 308.224225 571.783849 1143.180735 2453.764849 6179.065835
2026-02-15 100.738782 170.997208 298.574128 564.627003 1156.581476 2559.443772 6728.661473
2026-02-22 96.379587 165.866279 294.284145 567.960862 1193.934642 2730.506495 7524.222142
2026-03-01 90.727327 157.922154 283.926993 557.348900 1197.382103 2815.855311 8079.330348
2026-03-08 86.225810 151.833091 276.705726 552.737032 1214.521158 2940.640970 8805.785553
2026-03-15 80.089544 142.225989 261.789843 529.716447 1183.552177 2928.814366 9058.427580
2026-03-22 78.592898 141.487429 264.666455 546.890403 1255.893842 3222.045231 10520.185387
2026-03-29 77.619133 141.692525 269.466887 568.984462 1344.428139 3582.639131 12395.131710
2026-04-05 74.808136 138.038618 265.910657 571.048189 1379.957380 3790.130941 13741.396719